Master The Basics of ICM With 888poker’s Ian Simpson
Summary
Independent Chip Model (ICM) is a maths tool that converts tournament chips into real-money equity given stack sizes and the payout structure. Ian Simpson, an 888poker ambassador, breaks down core ICM concepts in a short video and article, using a memorable satellite-bubble hand where he realised post-event that folding ace-queen suited would have been correct under ICM.
As the tournament bubble or big pay jumps approach, ICM can make seemingly strong hands marginal — sometimes you must preserve your stack rather than chase chips. Simpson outlines how ICM affects short, medium and big stacks and argues that while pure ICM spots aren’t constant, learning the basics is worthwhile for anyone who reaches money bubbles or final tables.
Key Points
- ICM values tournament chips by considering all players’ stacks and the payout ladder, not just your chip count.
- Near bubbles and pay jumps, folding very strong hands can be correct because survival often outweighs chip accumulation.
- Short stacks should prioritise surviving to the money; be much more selective with starting hands.
- Chip leaders should still be cautious but can apply pressure, favouring hands that include blockers to reduce opponents’ strong holdings.
- Medium stacks are the hardest to play under ICM — a loss can drop you to short-stack status while bigger stacks can eliminate you.
- Studying the basics of ICM is recommended: it’s not constant, but essential when bubbles or final-table pay jumps occur.
Author style
Punchy: this is a short, no-nonsense primer from Ian Simpson that cuts to the practical points. If you play tournaments regularly, these are the sorts of adjustments that save you chips and cash — worth a quick watch/read.
Why should I read this?
Look — if you fancy not bubbling out with a monster because you didn’t think about payouts, read this. Simpson gives simple, real examples (yes, he even folded ace-queen after running the numbers) and explains what to do when you’re short, medium or the chip leader. It’s quick, practical and will stop some dumb losses at the business end of events.